In the news this week: Week 2

Read our weekly digest of interesting articles and insights we’ve found exploring the fallout from COVID-19.

Programmatic under the microscope as publishers miss out
A fascinating study from ISBA in conjunction with PwC has shown that publishers typically only earn 50% of the revenue spent by brands on their advertising, with around $1 in every $7 spent on the channel lost in the opaque supply chain. Read Digiday’s write up of the study.

Amazon affiliates outrage at commission cuts
Amazon’s April commission cuts for US affiliates have kicked in and CNBC spoke to publishers impacted by the move. Read how the decision has focused minds on diversification and away from an overreliance on a single partner for revenue.

Retail Week lifts paywall
Retail Week is a must-read for anyone in digital industries interested in how shopping trends and news impacts e-commerce. In lockdown they’re lifting their paywall and making the digital version of their bi-weekly magazine free to view.

John Lewis reveals how lockdown has shaped UK shopping behavior
Bellweather British retailer John Lewis has released an engaging report looking at how Brits’ shopping behavior has changed over the past two months including fascinating highlights drawn from product sales, a highlight of which has to be the 1400% increase in elastic sales as people make their own face masks.

Warren Buffett sells all US airline stock in indication of long-term trend for aviation industry
The famed US investor revealed at the virtual annual meeting for his company Berkshire Hathaway that he had sold all his stocks in major US airlines, citing profound changes to the industry in the near future. “We made that decision in terms of the airline business. We took money out of the business basically even at a substantial loss,” Buffett said. “We will not fund a company … where we think that it is going to chew up money in the future.”

TikTok testing new shop now buttons on influencer videos
The burgeoning influencer platform TikTok has revealed it is testing e-commerce capabilities that would allow creators to display a CTA button within their videos connecting them directly to advertisers. In a sign of its intent to deliver more performance-based advertising solutions to its platforms, TikTok’s new update would generate direct ad revenues for brands, with commissions being split between TikTok and the influencer.   

For more information on COVID-19, please visit our information hub where we bring you the latest news from the Awin Group, as well as links to network insights and useful pointers, alongside wider updates.

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‘We’re careful about what we propose’: Even strapped for ad revenue, publishers are wary about taking retailer ad campaigns

As parts of the U.S. economy begin to open up, there’s new hope that the key retail sector will start to get going — and start spending on advertising.

But some publishers remain wary of doing big deals with retailers, based on the possibility that many will falter. This year alone, eight different retailers have already filed for bankruptcy in 2020, including J. Crew, Neiman Marcus, Pier 1 and Modell’s Sporting Goods, and many others, including Macy’s and Gap, look rickety.

An ad sales leader at one major publisher said its team is examining the bond ratings of retailers to determine whether to take on the risk that ad campaigns will end up not getting paid. If a retailer doesn’t meet internal requirements, the sales team can’t do a deal, that source said. This publisher is avoiding upfront production costs since a company slipping into bankruptcy protection would be unlikely to make good on the money owed, and focusing on shorter-term deals that can be executed – and paid for – as soon as possible.

A CRO at a second publisher, which had once put up with spending hundreds of thousands of dollars up front on branded content productions, now demands that those costs be paid for up front. On smaller, media-focused deals, that same publisher is now asking retailers to shorten their payment terms.

The CRO of a third publisher, which requires all partners undergo a credit check before working together, is trying to cut down on the costs of campaigns by repurposing content used for retail clients’ campaigns.

Few publishers are in a position to throw their weight around with clients, and many say their positions are negotiable; conditions have not deteriorated to the point where anybody has turned down business from potential advertisers.

Some publishers are holding out hope that things might change for their clients; the third CRO mentioned in this story said that, if Amazon resumes its spending, that could be enough for them to make up for declines at places such as J.C. Penney and Macy’s. But some sources say they have begun to figure out how they might cope without that revenue if more retailers file for bankruptcy or are forced to cut back on spending.

“On the one hand, we’re preparing for a world where retail
comes roaring back and we’re able to capitalize on it,” that CRO said. “On the
other hand, we’re hedging.”

That source said their sales team is looking to make up for
the loss of retail revenue by working more with advertisers that have resumed
their spending, concentrating on brands in the consumer product goods category,
for example.

While most businesses have been affected by the social distancing guidelines implemented across the country, retail has been among the hardest-hit categories.

“Everybody is challenged, across the board,” said the second CRO, whose employer counts retail as its top advertising category. “We’re really careful about what we’re proposing for second half [of 2020]. We want to make sure we can get them to pre-pay for some, or all of the pre-production.”  

One bright spot some publishers have seen is that those pre-production costs are dropping. Because social distancing prevents publishers from executing elaborate productions, the price tag of those services has now dropped; a photo shoot that might have cost $40,000 to produce now costs about $5,000, that source said.

To further minimize risk, the first source said they have sought to steer advertisers toward campaigns that were more focused on media rather than campaigns that would require significant production investments.

That source said that, after the financial crisis of 2008,
the publisher has a policy of evaluating potential advertisers’ credit ratings.

“You have to look at everything through the lens of possible
bankruptcy,” that source said. “Some of these places can’t pay their rent, they
can’t pay their employees. We’re the last thing that’s going to get paid [if a
retailer goes bust].”

Not every publisher has changed how they work with
retailers. A source at a fourth publisher, which works with JC Penney, said
that there have been no changes to the deal terms they use, though there is
some worry internally because of JC Penney’s looming bankruptcy; JC Penney is
reportedly seeking a $450 million loan from creditors that would allow the
company to keep operating amid bankruptcy proceedings. 

These changes are set against a backdrop of advertiser payment
terms starting to lengthen and late payments have become more common. In
response, publishers that have the ability to flex their muscles are doing so,
in some cases refusing
to begin running ads
until an advertiser pays up.

To some extent, publishers that have diversified into areas including creative work, agency services or experiential activation are already somewhat insulated against this.  Yet at the end of the day, most publishers will bend a bit to get a deal closed.

“We have to approach it like we’re in it together,” the second source said. “We want to remain good partners, and we want to be the ones who get the business.”

The post ‘We’re careful about what we propose’: Even strapped for ad revenue, publishers are wary about taking retailer ad campaigns appeared first on Digiday.

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